Tuesday, July 3, 2012

Economic Journal - Tuesday, 7/3/2012

(As of 7:40 am pacific)

Stocks edged up slightly as the only economic report of the day came in positive and investors recovered from yesterday’s disappointing manufacturing data.  The Commerce Department reported early this morning that US factory orders rose in May for the first time in 3 months, ahead of expectations.  In corporate news, US retail stocks fell as weekly sales rose at the slowest pace in 9 weeks during the week ended June 30th.  JCPenney, Home Depot, and Lowe’s led the decline.   In Europe, stocks rose for a second day in a row as expectations continued for the European Central Bank (ECB) to further cut interest rates on Thursday, which would act as a stimulus measure for Europe.  Commodities soared across the board on expectations that a central bank rate cut would increase demand for raw materials.  Crude oil surged 4% to over $87/barrel on geopolitical concerns about Iran and missile drills that were conducted late Monday.   Trading activity is light today as the US stock market will close at 1:00 pm Eastern today in observance of the 4th of July holiday.  The stock market will be closed all day tomorrow and trading will resume at normal market hours on Thursday.  We expect a relatively quiet day in the market with low volatility and look to Thursday’s ECB meeting as the most important indicator for the outcome of the rest of the week.  Happy 4th of July!!!