Thursday, July 5, 2012

Economic Journal - Thursday, 7/5/2012

(As of 7:14 am pacific)

Stocks are down this morning despite positive economic data as the market reopens after the 4th of July holiday.  Strong US jobs data released today from ADP indicates that the private sector added more jobs than economists forecasted in June.  The number of people filing for unemployment benefits fell last week to its lowest level in over a month and a half.   A more accurate report of job growth will come out tomorrow from the US Labor Department.  Due out later today is a report from ISM on US nonmanufacturing economic activity.  Despite the positive reports we’re seeing today out of the US, the market seems to be shrugging them off and focusing on comments made by European Central Bank President Mario Draghi.  After cutting the key lending rate of European banks to record lows, ECB President Mario Draghi made several statements during a press conference that weighed on investor confidence, overshadowing the stimulus measure and sending stocks around the globe lower.  Draghi stated that economic growth in the euro region is weak and risks remain on the downside.  Other global central banks took action today with China announcing a surprise interest rate cut for the second time in a month, and the Bank of England expanding its quantitative easing program.  It wasn’t enough however to overcome the gloomy outlook on Europe.   Oil and gold are both down while the dollar is mostly up.  US treasury bonds are up, as interest rates fell slightly.  Volatility is trending up and pointing to a choppy day.