Friday, July 6, 2012

Economic Journal - Friday, 7/6/2012

(As of 7:34 am pacific)

Stocks start the day lower as disappointing US jobs data adds to the growing concern over global growth.  Most major asset classes are down today in a risk off scenario for markets around the globe.  This morning the US Labor Department announced the economy added 80,000 jobs in June, well below the 100,000 economists had forecasted and the jobless rate remained unchanged at 8.2%.  After a strong first quarter which saw an average of 276,000 jobs created per month, only 75,000 jobs have been added per month in the second quarter, indicating a sharp slowdown in hiring.  The other news that could be moving the markets are comments made earlier this morning by IMF Director Christine Lagarde when she stated that growth indicators had become worrisome and to expect a cut in the IMF’s global growth outlook.  European markets were down on jobs data and Lagarde’s comments as well as lingering fears over the situation in Spain where Spanish bond yields spiked today.  Asian markets were down in response to yesterday’s poor US services data and investors were cautious as they awaited today’s jobs data.  Commodities are down across the board with oil down nearly 3% and gold off 1.2%.  The US dollar is surging as investors flocked to the safety of the greenback.  Interest rates fell slightly and volatility was up, but not as much as we expected.  It’s a risk off day, and we don’t expect much change in the afternoon.  Next week starts earnings season with Alcoa kicking it off on Monday.  Have a great weekend!