Tuesday, July 17, 2012

Economic Journal - Tuesday, 7/17/2012

(As of 7:00 am pacific)
Stocks drifted higher this morning as investors awaited Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke’s congressional testimony.  Bernanke is set to testify this morning before the Senate Banking committee on the current condition of the economy and as has been the pattern of 2012, the markets are up in hopes that Bernanke signals new Fed stimulus action.  Economic reports out this morning from the Labor Department showed that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) was unchanged for July signaling prices flattened and the risk of inflation is not a near-term threat.  Core CPI, which strips out the volatility of food and energy prices rose 0.2%, in line with economists expectations.  Falling energy prices pulled down prices and as we’ve been saying will ultimately serve as a tax break, putting dollars back in the pocket of consumers.  Another report this morning showed industrial production in June increased more than expected, mostly led by automobiles and machinery makers.  Capacity Utilization, which measures what portion of a manufacturing plant is producing, rose from 78.7 to 78.9 in June.  The average reading since 1967 has been 80.7.  The surprise increase in manufacturing comes after a decline in May.  News out of Europe was quiet this morning and overshadowed by markets anticipating Bernanke’s testimony this morning.  The main economic report was out of Germany with the ZEW index of German investor confidence falling in July.  Oil prices continued their climb back up and gold fell slightly.  The US dollar was mostly down and the 10 yr. treasury yield remained at 1.49%.  Volatility was down to start trading and then began to increase as Bernanke’s testimony began.  It looks to be a volatile morning as investors trade on the comments of the Fed chairman.