Tuesday, July 24, 2012

Economic Journal - Tuesday, 7/24/2012

(As of 7:20 am pacific)

Caution prevails as news is light out of Europe, but one can’t help but feel that investors still have Europe on their mind.  The German bond was downgraded yesterday after the market close.  Earnings reports are heavy today, and should have the say as to whether we move back into a more positive mood.  So far earnings are mixed with nothing to write home about.  Oil and gold are up slightly while most commodities are down and the dollar is mixed against other currencies.  Longer term interest rates continue a downward trend as short term rates rise slightly, probably the continuing influence of ‘Operation Twist’. Volatility has dampened from yesterday.  A flash PMI figure, which is a measure of manufacturing activity was at its lowest since December of 2010, another in a disturbing trend of weakening economic activity reports  in the US.  I suspect that earnings reports will turn more positive as the day progresses and that we end with a slight gain while we wait for more direction from Europe.