Friday, May 29, 2015

Economic Journal - Friday, 5/29/2015


(As of 7:15 am PST)

We’re off to a rocky start on Wall Street this morning as investors took in mostly disappointing data on the US economy. Most notably, a report on first quarter GDP showed the US economy contracted in the first quarter for the second consecutive year. Gross domestic product shrank by -0.7% in the quarter. A growing trade deficit due to a rise in imports cut into growth in the first quarter while consumer spending also slowed below original forecasts. Economists were forecasting a -1.0% GDP decline in Q1. In other economic news, a report on the Chicago manufacturing PMI fell sharply. The disappointing data this morning has investors confused on what this means for a Fed rate hike. The “good news bad news” trade seems tired, with markets not reacting to negative or positive data as they once did. We seem to be stuck in a range trade for now, until some more consistent data comes out and a clear direction from the Fed on the plan to raise interest rates unfolds. Across the pond today, European stocks are heading towards a mixed close while Asian markets wrapped up the week near the unchanged line. Gold and oil are pushing higher while the US dollar is flat. Despite a volatile week for US markets, the month of May was generally positive for stocks with the S&P500 up nearly 1.7% while the Nasdaq is looking at monthly gains of 3%.

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