Friday, May 15, 2015

Economic Journal - Friday, 5/15/2015



(As of 7:20 am PST)

Markets are trading near the unchanged line to begin the session with the Dow and S&P500 just shy of setting new record highs. A string of disappointing manufacturing data has investors fumbling for direction in the early going. The Empire State Manufacturing index recovered in May after declining in April, but fell well short of expectations. A report on industrial production also missed estimates adding to the recent wave of mixed data. Overseas action is mixed with Asian markets finishing Friday’s session higher while Europe is down slightly. Gold and oil are giving back some of yesterday’s gains while interest rates are also on the decline. With yesterday’s rally on Wall Street, US indexes look on pace to finish the week with weekly gains despite a volatile start to the week. Disruption in the global bond markets, which caused selling pressure earlier in the week, seems to have dissipated while weak economic data has now caused speculation that the Fed will wait until the September-December period to raise interest rates.  A breakout to the upside seems far-fetched yet the market has also proven to be resilient any time we have a sell-off.  As a result, we seem to be in this range bound trade that doesn’t look to be changing any time soon.

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