Wednesday, August 15, 2012

Economic Journal - Wednesday, 8/15/2012

(As of 7:17 am pacific)

It’s a far cry from August 2011 when the stock market was extremely volatile as Congress debated the debt ceiling limit.  Instead of markets marked by huge advances and declines, we are seeing a period of calm, with a slight upward momentum, but generally trading in a very narrow range.  Today is shaping up as another very quiet day.  A negative report from the Empire State Index has been offset by a flat CPI report and an industrial capacity utilization report which showed a .6% increase.  The Homebuilder’s Index rose to its highest level in five years and is carrying the market right now. Oil is down slightly and gold is up slightly.  The dollar index is up a small amount as the dollar is mixed.  Mortgage interest rates are trending down again.  A couple of companies, Staples and Deere, warned of a difficult market ahead.  I expect the market to continue to trade in a very narrow range.