Thursday, August 23, 2012

Economic Journal - Thursday, 8/23/2012

(As of 7:20 am pacific)
 
Stocks are lower this morning as several global economic reports paint a gloomier picture than we’ve seen the past few weeks.   Manufacturing activity continues to contract in China and throughout Europe, making future monetary easing measures more likely.  Stocks in Asia responded positively to more talks of Beijing stimulus, while European shares fell as the data pointed to a likely recession in the 3rd quarter.  Stocks are down in the US as investors considered yesterday’s  Fed meeting release along with new jobs numbers reported this morning that showed jobless claims rose by 4,000 last week.  The Fed’s meeting minutes from its July meeting showed an active discussion around another round of stimulus, known as QE3.  There is a lot of expectation in the market right now for more stimulus, and it seems each day’s direction is predicated on how likely that stimulus will be.  Dragging down tech stocks today is blue-chip Hewlett Packard.  The computer maker reported its deepest loss ever and analysts slashed guidance.  The dollar is down and interest rates are down this morning as commodities are up with gold surging over 1.5%.  Today looks like another opportunity for investors to take profits after a nice run up the past few weeks.