Friday, August 17, 2012

Economic Journal - Friday, 8/17/2012

(As of 7:15 am pacific)

Yesterday’s market breakout to the upside seemed to signal a shift in momentum.  Market bulls seem to be in charge at this point.  As the earnings season winds down, there have been some solid surprises on the plus side which have added to gains.  Oil is down slightly on reports that the strategic petroleum reserve might be tapped.  It feels as if the Obama administration is learning from central banks that ‘talking into the market’ without action can be almost as effective as the action itself.  I don’t expect the strategic reserve to be tapped because it would look politically motivated, which it would be.  While yesterday’s gains added life to a boring August, I still think that mundane market action will prevail.  The dollar is up slightly as are longer term interest rates and most commodities up slightly. Consumer confidence numbers came in higher than expected and leading economic indicators were up .4%.  It appears we are headed for another positive day.