Thursday, August 30, 2012

Economic Journal - Thursday, 8/30/2012

(As of 7:27 am pacific)
 
Stocks are accelerating to the downside this morning as economic reports are fueling global growth concern and investors seem antsy ahead of Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke’s speech tomorrow.  In the US, the number of people applying for jobless claims was unchanged last week.  Claims have hovered at the same level for the past 5 weeks, showing signs that the labor market is sputtering.  On a positive note, consumer spending rose in July, for the biggest monthly increase since February and personal income also rose for the 3rd straight month.  Falling gas prices in the month of July most likely aided in putting extra spending dollars in the pockets of taxpayers.  The reports weren’t enough for stocks as reports out of Europe and Asia sent markets retreating.  Economic sentiment throughout the euro-zone fell to a 3 yr. low and German unemployment edged up ahead of expectations.  Asian stocks saw a sharp selloff today as well, as Japan’s retail sales turned negative in July, falling 0.8% from a year prior.  It was the first drop since November 2011.  Commodity prices also weighed on the markets with oil down and gold flat.  The US dollar is mixed this morning and interest rates continue to fall as investors are flocking to the safety of the treasury today.  The mood seems to have changed in the market ahead of tomorrow’s Fed conference.  Expectations are changing for Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke to announce any plans for new stimulus programs.  With weakening global growth, the debt crisis in Europe, and the fiscal cliff looming, many are expecting Bernanke to hold on to taking action until we really need it.