Thursday, May 3, 2012

Economic Journal - Thursday, 5/3/2012

(As of 7:32 am pacific)

Stocks open slightly down as US jobless claims drop ahead of estimates.  According to the Labor Dept., US jobless claims declined by 27,000 to 365,000 last week.  Claims from 2 weeks ago were revised up to 392,000 from 388,000.  Economists had expected jobless claims to drop to 378,000.  The Labor Dept. also reported on Thursday that productivity of US businesses and workers dropped 0.5% for the first quarter.  Economists estimated a decline of 1.0%.  The manufacturing sector continued to show signs of improvement, jumping 5.9% in the first quarter.  Most of the decline in productivity came outside the manufacturing sector.    Planned jobs cuts were up 7% in April to 40,559 according to outplacement firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas.  April’s reading was 11.2% higher than this time last year.  In Europe, stocks retreated after ECB President Mario Draghi’s press conference Thursday.  Draghi said economic outlook for the euro-area remains subject to downside risk pointing to ongoing tensions in sovereign debt markets.  He also said that demand for credit remains weak but is confident that the LTRO program would have a positive impact on lending once liquidity feeds through the system.  The ECB left its key lending rate at 1% and said its stance on monetary policy remains “accommodative.”  Asian stocks fell Thursday as banks weighed on the Hong Kong markets.   Oil prices dropped sharply, down 1.85% to 103.26 and gold was down 1.03% to 1637.  The US dollar was mixed and the 10 yr. treasury yield drifted up slightly to 1.94%.  30 yr. mortgage rates remained at all time record lows of 3.82%.  The VIX was up 1.54% to 17.14.