Thursday, May 31, 2012

Economic Journal - Thursday, 5/31/2012

(As of 8:03 am pacific)

Stocks opened lower as economic and jobs data disappoints.  Payroll processor, ADP, reported this morning that private-sector payrolls increased 133,000 in May from a downward revised 113,000 in April.  Private sector job growth appears to be slowing down in the 2nd quarter as the average monthly gain thus far is 123,000 jobs added per month.  In the 1st quarter 200,000 private sector jobs were added per month.  The US Labor Dept. reported that US jobless claims (people filing for unemployment benefits) rose 10,000 last week to 383,000 as claims from 2 weeks ago were revised up from 370,000 to 373,000.  Economists had expected jobless claims to remain level at 370,000.  According to the Commerce Dept. US GDP growth for the 1st quarter was revised downward to 1.9%, slower than the originally estimated 2.2% growth.  Economists expected a drop to 1.8% and are forecasting a pick up in growth in the 2nd quarter to 2.2% annualized.  A disappointing surprise was that consumer spending was revised downward from a 2.9% gain to a 2.7% gain in the 1st quarter.  Lastly, and perhaps the most surprising report of the morning was that Chicago PMI (an index that measures business activity in the Chicago area) fell 3.5 points to 52.7 in May from 56.2 in April, recording its lowest level since September 2009.  European stocks started their trading session up from yesterday’s lows, but quickly turned lower as US economic reports disappointed investors.  Trading volumes in Europe were low, indicating investors are nervous about stocks and looking more to safe havens.  Asian stocks stumbled on European fears, especially those issues facing Spain, Italy and Greece.  Oil prices shed 1.22% to 86.68 while gold lost 0.22% to 1562.  The US dollar was mixed and the 10 yr. treasury fell to 1.60%.  30 yr. mortgage rates dipped slightly to 3.76%.  The volatility index (VIX) added 3.36% to 24.95.  The month of May has not been kind to markets or investors.  Going into today, the S&P 500 was down 6.1%.