Friday, May 11, 2012

Economic Journal - Friday, 5/11/2012

(As of 7:29 am pacific)

Stocks open Friday in a downward trend led by JP Morgan Chase after the banking giant reported in an unexpected conference call yesterday that a $2 billion trading loss due to a large position in credit default swaps will effect Q2 results.  Shares of JP Morgan fell 9.17% in early trading.  Stocks rallied back paring early morning losses as markets filtered other economic data.  The Labor dept. released data showing the Producer Price Index (PPI) fell 0.2% in April, the biggest decline since October.  The drop was led by falling gas prices at the end of April.  The unadjusted 12 month rise of 1.9% was the weakest since October 2009.  Factoring out volatile food and energy prices, the core PPI edged up 0.2% for April.  In Europe, stocks were down as the European Commission said in its Spring forecast Friday that the Euro-zone was in a “mild recession”.  They also projected gross domestic product for 2012 to contract by 0.3%, and would rebound to grow 1% in 2013.  They expect unemployment to remain high, near 11%.  In China, economic data for April came in weaker than expected indicating a continued economic slowdown.  China’s industrial output rose 9.3% in April, missing estimates of 12.2%, while retail sales were up 14.1%, shy of analysts estimates of a 15.1% rise.  The Hang Seng Index fell 1.3% after the data was released.  Chinese CPI rose 3.4% from a year earlier, but was down 0.1% month over month showing signs slowing inflation and cooling in prices.  Oil fell 0.77% to 96.33 while gold also dropped 0.41% to 1589.  The US dollar was mixed and the 10 yr. treasury yield fell to 1.84%.  30 yr. mortgage rates remained at 3.78%.  The CBOE volatility index (VIX), was up 1.96% to 19.20 at 7:28 am pacific.