Wednesday, September 4, 2013

Economic Journal - Wednesday, 9/4/2013

(As of 7:19 am PST)
 
Markets are quiet to start this morning with the major indexes inching higher.   Gold and oil are taking a beating, leading commodities lower as the US dollar is down slightly.  Economic data is light although a report showed the US trade deficit widened sharply in July after dropping significantly in June.  The trade gap jumped 13.3% mostly due to higher oil prices and an increase in auto imports.  A widening trade deficit is not good for US growth as more dollars leave the US for overseas goods.  Support for a military strike on Syria grew on Capitol Hill yesterday, with several House and Senate leaders speaking out in support for President Obama’s plan.  The remaining challenge for lawmakers is agreeing to the scope of the strike.  Although Syria is a major concern, the bigger issue facing markets continues to be the Fed’s timeline for tapering its bond purchases and the resulting impact of rising interest rates on the economy.  The latest release of the Fed’s Beige book is due out today which will likely shed some light on whether rising rates are taking a toll on growth.   September is known as one of the worst months for the stock market historically, and with a lot of negative events on the horizon, expect market volatility to pick up as the weeks go on. 

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