Friday, September 27, 2013

Economic Journal - Friday, 9/27/2013

(As of 7:08 am PST)
 
Stocks opened lower today after enjoying some slight gains yesterday.  Economic data is light although a report on consumer spending showed spending rose 0.3% in August (the third fastest increase of the year) and July spending was revised upward.  The main story continues to be the debt showdown in Washington.  A possible government shutdown as a result of not raising the debt ceiling is the biggest concern on investor minds.  The nation is scheduled to reach its debt ceiling on October 17, and thus unable to pay its bills, unless congress can come to an agreement to raise it by Monday’s deadline.  Compared to the debt ceiling debate in 2011 which saw volatility soar, it’s been a relatively calm market during these budget negotiations.  Volatility is picking up today, however, with the VIX trading up 6%.  Expect volatility to pick up as the day progresses and uncertainty weighs on investor minds going into the weekend.  In other news, gold is higher by 1% and interest rates are lower with the 10 yr. treasury yielding 2.62%.  Asia finished trading mixed and Europe is following US markets lower.  The ‘come up for air’ yesterday may be short-lived as market momentum is to the downside today.

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