Monday, October 8, 2012

Economic Journal - Monday, 10/8/2012

(As of 7:20 am pacific)
 
In a quiet day of trading there is little news of import today.  The Treasury market is closed because of Columbus Day and I suspect that many traders are taking the day off.  Over the weekend there have been many stories about how weak the earnings season will be for the third quarter.  That concern is driving markets lower today though the retreat has been moderate.  From projections and analyst’s comments, earnings growth might actually decline for the first time in years.  What will further define market direction for the near term will be the growth projections that companies put out there for the 4th quarter, which is currently expected to be a return to robust profit growth.  If future forecasts are reduced along with current earnings declines, it could make our October rally a distant memory.  Gold and oil are down today as the dollar is strengthening.  Interest rates continue to run at historic lows.