Monday, October 15, 2012

Economic Journal - Monday, 10/15/2012

(As of 7:00 am pacific)
 
It is a quiet start to the week.  Markets have eked out a small gain as retail sales came in better than expected and Citibank earnings beat estimates, which had been significantly reduced over the last quarter.  The Empire State Manufacturing Index continued to show contraction, although it was slightly better than last month.  China exports showed a recovery over the weekend, boosting Asia.  Oil is down as is gold, while the US dollar index is close to unchanged.  Mortgage interest rates are falling and are near historic lows.  Expect market action to be driven by earnings and, more importantly, earnings projections for the following quarter.  Expect the market to reverse itself and struggle to finish positive today as earnings outweigh mildly positive data.