Friday, October 5, 2012

Economic Journal - Friday, 10/5/2012

(As of 7:24 am pacific)
 
It’s all about the numbers today.  The employment numbers that is.  The unemployment rate came down sharply to 7.8%, the lowest reading in years.  But the question has to be asked; is the number politically doctored?  The job creation was not that great and it just seems very coincidental that the month prior to the Presidential election that the rate should experience a surprise drop, with very little backup supporting numbers.  I don’t think the markets will continue the positive response elicited from this one statistic, but there certainly is a momentum carry-forward from prior positive news.  The markets are up marginally today.  Gold and oil are down moderately as is the dollar.  Interest rates continue to recede to more historic lows.  Markets are ignoring very weak numbers out of Asia, and discounting the European debt crisis.  It seems that traders are experiencing a bit of euphoria.  While numbers have been good, I sense it that very much is expected of a still marginal situation with a lot of potholes in the road ahead.