Wednesday, April 4, 2012

Economic Journal - Wednesday, 4/4/2012

Global stocks continue to drift downward as Europe dominates the headlines.  US stocks shrug off positive economic reports and focus on Fed meeting minutes from yesterday as well as news out of Europe.  Stocks tumbled yesterday afternoon as the FOMC’s most recent meeting minutes released signaled the Fed may refrain from more quantitative easing, causing investors to fear a lack of liquidity in the markets.  That fear continued into today’s session despite strong US economic reports.  According to ADP, private sector employment rose 209,000 in March, for the 26th month of gains.  The report for February was also revised upward to 230,000 from a prior estimate of 216,000.  The Institute for Supply Management said its services index fell to 56.0% last month from 57.3% in February.  The services sector accounts for ¾ of output for the US economy.  The ISM index has remained above the 50 level for 27 straight months.  A reading above 50 indicates expansion.  US Treasury Secretary, Timothy Geithner also said in a speech to the economic club of Chicago that household debt is down 17% relative to income since before the crisis.  In Europe, stocks were down over 2% this morning on concern over Spain’s debt situation.  In a bond auction today, Spain sold 2.59 billion euros of bonds, less than their target max of 3.5 billion euros, driving yields higher in a disappointing bond auction.  Worries about Spain’s deficit and rising unemployment sent stocks tumbling.  The European Central Bank (ECB) also announced that they will leave its key lending rating unchanged at a record low of 1%.  Asian markets were also hit today following a reported trade deficit in Australia.  Commodities were down with oil down 2.06% to 101.87 and gold down 3.11% to 1620.  The US dollar strengthened as the markets were down.  The 30 yr. mortgage rate climbed to 4.03% while the 10 yr. treasury yield dipped slightly to 2.24%.  The CBOE Volatility Index rose 8% to 16.92.