Thursday, April 12, 2012

Economic Journal - Thursday, 4/12/2012

(As of 7:45 am pacific)

Stocks open modestly higher on a flood of economic reports.  The Labor dept. reported today that US jobless claims rose last week to the highest level in 2.5 months.  The number of people applying for jobless benefits jumped by 13,000 last week to 380,000.  Many analysts believe the rise was due to seasonal quirks with spring break allowing many school workers to apply for jobless benefits as well as seasonal adjustments with the Easter holiday.  The 4 week average, which is a more accurate reading rose slightly by 4,250 to 368,500.  The PPI (producer price index) was unchanged last month following a 0.4% increase in February.  Economists forecasted a 0.1% decline for March.  When you strip the volatile categories of food and energy prices, the core PPI (which is a more accurate gauge of inflationary pressures) rose by 0.3% for the month of March.  Core prices have risen 2.9% over the previous 12 months.  According to the Commerce dept. the US trade deficit narrowed in February recording the largest percentage drop since May 2009.  The deficit hit 46 billion in February compared to 52.5 billion in January – a 12.4% drop.  Exports rose 0.1% on the month to $181.2 billion, while imports fell 2.7% to $227.2 billion.  US consumer confidence remained at a 4 year high last week.  The reading came in at -32.8, second only to the previous week’s reading of -31.4.  The Fed’s “Beige Book” came out yesterday afternoon, with comments generally in line with expectations.  According to the report, the US economy continues to grow at a “modest to moderate” pace – the same phrase that’s been used in the precious 2 reports.  The Fed also announced they plan to keep interest rates low.  Oil was up slightly to 102.93 and gold trade flat to open at 1661.  The US dollar was down and 10 yr. treasury yields were flat at 2.04%.  30 yr. mortgage rates drifted down to 3.91%.  The CBOE volatility index was down 4.25% to 19.17.