Wednesday, February 17, 2016

Economic Journal - Wednesday, 2/17/2016

(As of 7:25 am PST)

US markets are trading higher for a third day in a row. If gains are sustained into the close, it will be the first three session rally since December 21-23 which gives you a pretty good indication of how the year has been for investors so far. A busy economic calendar today has provided just enough good news to support the early session rally. Housing starts were weaker than expected while building permits, a sign of future demand, were in line. The cost of producing goods and services rose in January while industrial production and capacity utilization reports also beat the consensus estimate. Investors’ main concern of the day is on the release of minutes from the Federal Reserve’s January 26-27 meeting. Last week’s testimony by Chairwoman Yellen was a precursor to what we are expected to see which has been an increasingly dovish tone from the Fed. Expectations today are that the central bank will provide communication hinting at a hold on interest rates until the September meeting. Oil continues its rise, soaring nearly 3% today all on hopes that Iran will get on board with the production freeze agreement. Interest rates are higher today as money is being put to work in risk assets.

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