Monday, November 9, 2015

Economic Journal - Monday, 11/9/2015

(As of 7:20 am PST)

US stocks opened lower Monday after six consecutive weeks of gains, as market participants reacted to Friday’s strong jobs report. Friday’s surprise report, which showed a whopping 271,000 jobs added in October, has increased the prospect of a Fed rate increase in December with analysts now predicting a 70% probability of such an event occurring. Interest rates soared on Friday and are continuing their uptrend today on the speculation of a near term rate hike. The 10 yr. US treasury yield is trading at 2.36% today after trading below 2% just three weeks ago. China made headlines overnight as weak trade data caught Asian investors by surprise. Chinese exports fell nearly 7% year-over-year in October, while imports fell a shocking 18%. The weakness had speculators predicting that Chinese authorities may introduce new stimulus measures to strengthen the Chinese economy. The Shanghai composite index rallied 1.5% Monday. European markets have been on a slow decline all day. It appears the rate hike talk has heated back up and may be the excuse the market was looking for to take some profits after a spectacular performance in October.

No comments: