Monday, November 30, 2015

Economic Journal - Monday, 11/30/2015

(As of 7:10 am PST)

US stocks opened cautiously flat Monday as investors returned from the long Thanksgiving holiday weekend. It looks to be a busy week with a full batch of economic data due out including Friday’s jobs report which will be the last before the Fed’s December policy meeting. A speech from Fed Chair Janet Yellen will highlight the middle part of the week, while a policy meeting from the ECB Thursday will keep market participants anxiously awaiting to see if the central bank delivers on further stimulus measures. Investors will be looking at retail stocks today and tomorrow as sales numbers trickle in from the holiday weekend although early consensus is that Black Friday sales this year were weaker than expected. Today’s economic data is disappointing as a report on Chicago PMI showed business activity falling back into contractionary territory in November. A report on pending home sales nudged higher in October after two consecutive months of declines. International markets are mixed today. Oil prices are higher ahead of an important OPEC meeting Friday. Gold and other precious metals are also up slightly. It’s an important week for markets this week and barring any downside surprises on the data front, all signs point to a December Fed rate hike which, in our opinion, could lead to a year-end rally. 

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