Wednesday, September 30, 2015

Economic Journal - Wednesday, 9/30/2015



(As of 7:15 am PST)

US equities are up to start Wednesday’s session, as investors digested mixed global data on the last day of the third quarter. Despite today’s opening move higher, markets remain on pace to record their worst quarter since 2011. The S&P500 enters today’s session down -2.5% for the week and -8.7% for the quarter. A strong report on Chinese consumer sentiment kicked things into gear early. Despite a fractured stock market, Chinese households are more optimistic than they’ve been in over a year according to the report. The sentiment number sent Asian markets rallying overnight with optimism spilling over into the European and US open. On the home front, economic data is mixed today. According to payroll processor, ADP, the private sector added 200,000 jobs in September, slightly better than expected. Friday’s non-farm payrolls report will give us a better picture of labor market conditions but for now the ADP report is helping to sustain the market’s opening gains. On a more disappointing note, manufacturing activity in the Chicago region fell into contractionary territory in September, as production fell to the lowest level since July 2009. Despite the negative report the markets are holding on to early gains, probably due to technical buying and end of quarter “window-dressing” from mutual fund managers. Gold is down 1% today, while oil prices are up slightly.

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