Thursday, September 3, 2015

Economic Journal - Thursday, 9/3/2015


(As of 7:10 am PST)


Futures pointed to a positive open for US stocks Thursday which are coming off a strong relief rally yesterday for the Dow, S&P500 and Nasdaq indexes. Yesterday’s rally strengthened heading into the finish as investors firmed up positions ahead of the two day holiday for Chinese markets. Today’s open is likely a continuation of yesterday’s relief rally and a moment of calm with the volatile China trade closed for the remainder of the week. Adding to the positive direction were dovish comments from European Central Bank President Mario Draghi this morning. Draghi and the ECB kept interest rates unchanged and also reaffirmed its plan to carry out its stimulus program through September 2016 “or beyond”. The accommodative remarks helped to bid up European bourses, with stocks throughout Europe on pace to record 2% gains on the day. Economic data is mixed today with a report on jobless claims showing claims rising last week more than expected, but still remaining at very low levels. Data on the US trade deficit showed the deficit fell 7.4% in July on lower imports. Lastly the ISM-services report showed its services index falling slightly in August, but better than expected, signaling a sustained growth trend in the sector. Data in general lately has been positive, with investors and analysts now trying to gauge whether or not the Fed will move to raise rates later this month. Tomorrow’s closely watched non-farm payrolls report may be one of the most important indicators we’ve seen all year – having the potential to swing the Fed to decisive action in September or to pushing back until later this year. In other markets, gold is lower while oil is trading flat on the day. Interest rates are also flat on the day.

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