Wednesday, December 18, 2013

Economic Journal - Wednesday, 12/18/2013

(As of 7:20 am PST)
 
More positive data continues to flow in as investors await this afternoon’s highly anticipated announcement from the Federal Reserve.  This time the upbeat data came from the housing sector.  After a strong recovery this year for housing, things continue to improve.  Housing starts in November surged by 22.7% to 1.09 million annualized, the highest rate of growth since February 2008.  Improving data over the past few months has many investors and money managers expecting the Federal Reserve to begin tapering its stimulus program before the end of the year.  The much talked about debate has had markets on pins and needles the past couple weeks.  At 2 pm EST today the Fed will announce its policy decision on when and how much to begin tapering.  Many analysts believe the Fed will continue to purchase $85 billion per month in bonds, while others maintain the stance that the recently improving economy is ready for a slow, steady exit from quantitative easing.  Market volatility has been low and recent fluctuations surrounding the taper have more to do about the uncertainty of the taper than the taper itself, one could argue.  How will the markets bid Mr. Bernanke farewell?  I guess it depends on what he says at 2 pm EST today.

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