Thursday, May 2, 2013

Economic Journal - Thursday, 5/2/2013

(As of 7:10 am PST)
 
After a 1% selloff in markets yesterday, stocks are getting a bit of a bounce this morning on a surprise US jobs report and policy announcement from the European Central Bank.  The number of people who filed for unemployment benefits dropped by 18,000 to 324,000 last week the Labor Department announced today.   Claims are at their lowest level since January 2008, but may reflect seasonal oddities rather than an improving labor market.  The month after Easter generally is more volatile for claims.  In any case, the surprise number helped prop up markets in early trading.  In other economic news, the US trade deficit narrowed in March, led by a sharp decline in oil imports.  The shrinking deficit will likely help Q1 GDP as analysts were not projecting the sharp decline in their initial estimates.  In Europe, ECB President Mario Draghi announced earlier today a much anticipated interest rate cut, taking additional accommodative measures after recent data has shown Europe continues to be mired in recession.  In Asia, markets finished the day down.  Commodity prices are turning around with gold up 1.5% and oil higher by 0.67%.  Interest rates are mostly flat, but continue near historic lows.  The average 15 yr. mortgage rate hit a record low today of 2.56%.   

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