Friday, May 31, 2013

Economic Journal - Friday, 5/31/2013

(As of 7:10 am PST)
 
When can good news be bad news?  The Chicago PMI number, a key measure of economic activity, came in higher than expectations and showing good positive expansion.  It is another indication that ‘main street’ is continuing to recover.  But if recovery looks too robust, it is a danger to future quantitative easing by the Federal Reserve.  Markets have come to rely on easy money Fed Policy for growth in the last few years and as the stimulus is withdrawn there will certainly be withdrawal pains in the form of market volatility and negativity.  Gold was down along with oil this morning as the dollar strengthened against most other currencies.  Interest rates are stable, holding at monthly highs.  Asia markets were mixed and Europe is down after a string of negative economic reports.  Look for a mildly volatile market today with worries about Quantitative Easing reductions pushing markets lower at the end.   

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