Wednesday, January 30, 2013

Economic Journal - Wednesday, 1/30/2013

(As of 7:39 am PST)
 
The market turned defensive this morning after US GDP showed a small but surprise drop in the 4th quarter, attributed to a big drop in defense spending.  Consumer confidence was down as well as fears from the debt ceiling and the prospect of major budget cuts added to the shift in momentum.  Markets were down, but only by a small fraction.  There are some thoughts that the surprise contraction of GDP will give the Federal Reserve more argument to continue the quantitative easing programs, which have provided massive liquidity to markets.  Gold is up moderately, while oil is near unchanged.  It is hard to see any upside to today’s reversal of positive report trends.  Expect continuing deterioration as the day progresses.