Tuesday, January 15, 2013

Economic Journal - Tuesday, 1/15/2013

(As of 7:15 am PST)
 
Stocks are lower this morning after several economic reports give investors pause.  Retail sales for December surprised on the upside, rising 0.5% beating expectations and showing consumers were less concerned over the fiscal cliff as markets depicted.  Retail sales will likely be impacted this year as consumers are now seeing a hit to their paychecks from the expiration of the 2% payroll tax cut at the beginning of the year.  Other economic reports this morning showed manufacturing shrinking in the New York area and producer prices falling slightly in December, signaling continually low inflationary pressure.  Fears over the debt ceiling seem to be driving market direction today.  Fitch Ratings reiterated its threat of downgrade to the US AAA credit rating if the debt ceiling issue continued to see delay.  Also weighing on markets is Apple.  Continuing its slide from yesterday, shares of Apple are down 2.6%, breaking below $500 per share.  European markets are lower over the US debt concern and Asian markets were mixed.  Oil is down slightly and gold is drifting higher.  Interest rates are lower today and volatility is picking up.  Earnings will continue to play a major role in market direction, however as the first quarter drags on, expect concern to shift to the debt ceiling debate and spending cuts.