Monday, May 16, 2016

Economic Journal - Monday, 5/16/2016

(As of 7:05 am, PST)

In the early going on this Monday morning, the markets are shrugging off disappointing economic news here at home and around the world and are trying to kick off this new week with some positive results. Currently, the Dow is up 57 points and the S&P500 is trying to avoid a fourth consecutive losing session trading up 6.5 points. The bad news in the U.S. came from the Empire State general business-conditions index which revealed a sharp decline from this month to last month. In April, the reading was a positive 9.6 and this month came in at -9. This weak showing lends itself to the Fed staying put on raising rates next month. In China, the economic news continues to disappoint. China’s industrial production and investment readings came in below expectations for April. This news seemed to weigh heavier on the European markets as they were mostly in the negative overnight while the Asian markets are mostly positive. Oil is experiencing a rally this morning after Goldman Sachs reported that the oversupplied market has likely switched to a deficit. All of this news seems to be a backdrop for investors with the main focus coming later in the week when the minutes from the Federal Reserve’s April policy meeting will be released. There are no noteworthy earnings reports this week. All eyes continue to be on market driver Apple whose shares rose sharply this morning after an announcement that Warren Buffet’s Berkshire Hathaway invested 9.8 million shares during the first quarter. This shot in the arm for the largest market cap company may translate to a shot in the arm for the rest of the markets.

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