Friday, October 2, 2015

Economic Journal - Friday, 10/2/2015


(As of 7:05 am PST)
 
US stocks opened to the downside Friday, as investors took in a surprisingly disappointing jobs report. According to the Labor Department’s non-farm payrolls report, the private sector added 142,000 jobs in September, well below the consensus estimate of 200,000. Worse yet, downward revisions to jobs gains in July and August suggest that labor market conditions weakened throughout the summer. Today’s weak jobs report has reignited the debate as to when the Fed is going to raise interest rates. Prior to today’s report, many were calling for an October rate hike (including several Fed officials), however now it seems questionable if 2015 is even a reasonable target for the Fed to hike rates. Once again, a pattern of uncertainty is emerging. In overseas actions, most Asian markets finished the day higher, with Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index leading the way with a 3% gain on the day. European stocks traded in the green most of the session but have turned lower after the US jobs report was released. Gold is getting some safe haven support, rallying 2% on the day, while oil prices are down slightly. Interest rates are plummeting this morning with the 10 yr. treasury yield falling below 2% to 1.91% as investors sought the safety of the US treasury. With what looks like another week of losses all but certain, let’s hope that the unofficial start of Q3 earnings season next week will provide some relief to this worn out market.

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