Friday, December 5, 2014

Economic Journal - Friday, 12/5/2014



(As of 7:20 am PST)

Stocks are trending higher this morning as the US private sector added 321,000 jobs in November. Today’s non-farm payrolls report has caught everybody by surprise. So much so, that market gains are surprisingly muted, perhaps indicating a ‘good news, bad news scenario’ is surfacing again. The 321,000 new jobs added in November marked the biggest gain in three years with nearly every sector adding jobs. In another good sign, hiring was also revised upward 44,000 for the prior two months. The unemployment rate remained the same at 5.8%, once again below the Fed’s target rate of 6%. As things continue to improve here at home, the question on many investors minds will be when is the Fed going to raise interest rates. The Fed has indicated 2015 as their target, but if we continue to see strong reports like the one today, chances are that first rate hike will come earlier in the year. Internationally, Asian stocks finished the week mostly higher, while European markets snapped back after yesterday’s losses. Commodities are lower with oil on pace to finish the week down 10%.  Interest rates and the US dollar are higher. Expect momentum to pick up as the day wears on with the Dow now closing in on 18,000.

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