Thursday, October 16, 2014

Economic Journal - Thursday, 10/16/2014



(As of 7:05 am PST)

Selling pressure resumed on Wall Street this morning after yesterday’s frenzied session that saw the Dow shed 450 points before finishing the day down 174 (1.1%).  Concerns over global growth slowdown are fueling the selling as data in recent weeks suggest sluggish growth outlooks for China, Japan and most of Europe.  Adding to the mix yesterday are emerging signs of deflation.  Falling commodity prices, most notably the drop in oil, and declining bond yields are indications that inflation pressure is low if not deflationary.  With the timing of the Fed’s exit of its bond-buying stimulus program and plans to raise short term interest rates, the risk of deflation and its implications on the economy have increased in recent days.  These concerns are overshadowing a generally positive economic picture in the US. Today’s reports are quite strong. Jobless claims fell to a 14 year low while reports on industrial production and capacity utilization beat estimates for September. Earnings for the most part have been upbeat today. Reports from Goldman Sachs, Delta Air Lines, and Netflix grabbed headlines early while other big names are due to report throughout the day. International markets are broadly lower as are most commodity prices. Interest rates are flat at the moment while the US dollar is higher. Despite the positive US data, expect another volatile session in the equity markets.

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