Monday, January 27, 2014

Economic Journal - Monday, 1/27/2014

(As of 7:25 am PST)
 
Markets are mixed this morning as investors continue to sort out global equity conditions after last week’s selloff.  Indexes fell sharply last week after disappointing data from China spurred a selloff in emerging markets and a flight to safety caused a liquidation of stocks around the world.  This morning’s tone is cautious.  After dropping 550 points or 3.25% on the Dow in the past 5 days, some analysts are saying the correction is just getting started and that we could see another 5%-10% drop.  Upbeat results from Caterpillar have kept the Dow afloat this morning as the “bellwether” company beat earnings estimates for the 4th quarter.  New home sales for December fell 7%, but 2013 was the best year for sales in 5 years.  Earnings continue to trickle in this week, but the main focus will be on the Federal Reserve which is expected to announce its next step in its taper program later this week.  Economists are calling for an additional $10 billion per month reduction in the Fed’s bond purchase program, bringing the monthly total to $65 billion.  In other markets, Asia finished deeply in the red following Friday’s selloff on Wall Street.  European markets are mixed.  Gold is lower and oil higher while the dollar has regained slightly.  Interest rates are flat but are noticeably lower from last week’s flight to safety which pushed treasuries higher. Expect market volatility to persist as we move into the thick of earnings season and investors sort out mixed data to find direction.

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