Thursday, August 15, 2013

Economic Journal - Thursday, 8/15/2013

(As of 7:19 am PST)
 
Conflicting economic data has stocks broadly lower this morning adding to sharp weekly losses.  Jobless claims were the lowest since 2007, a positive sign for the economy, but a reminder that the Federal Reserve’s tapering program is just around the corner.  Worries of what will happen to interest rates and the stock market when the Fed stops or lowers its bond buying program has created great anxiety among investors.  Negative profit reports or reduced projections from Wal-Mart, Cisco and Netapp have added to large market losses.  The Philly Fed Index came in well below expectations and other economic data this morning has also been leaning to the negative.  An unusual pattern exists in the fact that ‘good is bad’ and ‘bad is good’, at least when it comes to the stock market.  ‘Yes, we need more stimulus!’  ‘No, it’s time to reduce or eliminate stimulus!’  Every report takes on a different meaning.  In the meantime oil is up, gold is down and interest rate yields are climbing.  Expect increasing volatility and for negative momentum to persist.

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