Monday, February 11, 2013

Economic Journal - Monday, 2/11/2013

(As of 7:20 am PST)
 
It’s a quiet day in the markets with most Asian markets closed for the week due to the Lunar New Year holiday.  US stocks are down as Europe has reentered the picture with political risk in Spain and Italy causing borrowing costs to rise.  We are weeks away from the US budget sequestration, and that too is adding some pressure to markets.  The economic report to watch for this week is Wednesday’s retail sales report.  Analysts expect retail sales for the month of January to rise a scant 0.1%, with rising oil prices and the expiration of the payroll tax cut tightening the wallets of many Americans.  Strong corporate earnings so far this quarter may support a stronger than expected retail sales number.  Gold is down 1% and oil down as well today.  Interest rates are flat and volatility edging up slightly.  With Asian markets closed and no economic reports to give direction, investors are being forced to linger on the issues of Europe and budget sequestration, taking some small profits as they wait.

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