Friday, December 7, 2012

Economic Journal - Friday, 12/7/2012

(As of 7:20 am pacific)
 
Stocks are trying to breakout a rally on strong jobs data, but consumer sentiment and worries over the fiscal cliff are holding markets back. The US Labor Department reported that the private sector added 146,000 jobs in November, much higher than analysts expected. The unemployment rate fell in November to 7.7% from 7.8%, mostly due to 350,000 people dropping out of the labor force.   October and September jobs numbers were downwardly revised.  A preliminary reading of US consumer sentiment fell in December, likely due to fears over the fiscal cliff and higher taxes at the beginning of the year.  In Europe, markets were lower to start as the German central bank cut its 2013 GDP forecast from 1.6% growth to 0.4%.  Stocks bounced back later in the day after the US jobs data came in.  The big story out of Asia was of the 7.3 magnitude earthquake that hit just off the Northeast coast of Japan.  It struck just after the markets closed, having little impact on stocks and at this point there are no reports of casualty or damage.  Commodities are higher today with oil and gold edging up, while the dollar is also up.  Interest rates are higher and 30 yr. mortgage rates are lower as a result of Fed buying.  Volatility is down today.  It looks like a push and pull day as investors weigh the jobs report against the fiscal cliff drama.